Thursday, September 19, 2019

Financial Matters & Tips #Ep 1 - Rich Dad Poor Dad (Cashflow Quadrant)

I recalled when I was young, one of the first financial book that I read was Rich Dad, Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki. 

He mentioned about how the rich earn their money through businesses and real estate, while the poor focus on their jobs and save money. And of course, the rich always get richer and the poor always get poorer. Hence is life fair to the poor? It never was.

Subsequently, he came out with another book titled "The Cashflow Quadrant" and I didn't complete reading the book as I couldn't totally apprehend what it was trying to say entirely at that age of mine. However there was this cashflow quadrant which caught my eye and I find it very interesting:



Basically this is a Cashflow Quadrant where each and every of us are being break down into one of the four categories based on their financial intelligence. Some of them could belong to two categories but no one could possibly be in all four categories. The trick is to move from an Employee (E) to Self Employed (S) and to Business Owner (B) and eventually Investor (I).

The left quadrant are the guys that are earning active income constantly using their own time, effort and energy whilst the right quadrant focuses on earning passive income from your businesses or investments. The question is how do you actually move on to different sectors from E, S, B, I and with B and I being the most valued categories.

However I have slightly different perspective when it comes to Cashflow Quadrant. Robert Kiyosaki focuses on how the people from the left column could successfully move to the right column to achieve success. In this current age and time, I believe we could actually be able to take part or be in four categories at any one time but this involves master prioritization of tasks, expert time management and hard work.

Will you rather choose to have SGD500k cash sitting in your bank with no income coming through for the rest of your life or would you choose to be secured with multiple cashflow of example SGD10k coming to you each and every month for the rest of your life? I will choose the latter.

Therefore, my financial aim is to build multiple streams of positive cashflow coming to my bank account each and every month. Of course some of it you need to use your time and effort to exchange and maybe some with lesser effort until passive income take over.

For me, I will be trying to build positive cashflow from all categories at any one point of time. That is how my name of SG Cashflow Investor came from, which is primarily the cornerstone of my strategy.

Employee (Active Income):
This is your full time job where you earn your main active income. At the start of any person's working cycle, this would be the main source of income. The income which is being earned from the employment should be saved, retained as much as possible and transfer to investment.

The key risk is being stuck in a monotonous job where there are no job progression. Many office workers dread the coming of every week Monday where the usual routine of travelling in packed public transport rushing to work place to clock 8 to 10 hours of work and then back home. There are risk of having horrible bosses and political colleagues to work with, and you have to constantly prove your worth in order to survive in the competitive corporate world.

In addition, there is also increasing risk of retrenchment especially for PMETs in their 40s and above in this current volatile economy. At the point of writing, I just received news that one of my childhood friend whom is in his mid-40s was out of job since March this year and he has nothing to do at home beside looking for job? As such, you should always prepare a back-up plan while you are still employed to minimize any risk of job/income loss in times of crisis.

Self-Employed (Active Income):
Self-employed means you could own your business such as insurance agent or property agent being full-time or part-time.

There are also many side hustles which you could do during your free time and hopefully one day it could generate revenues to replace your main income. Blogging is one of the hustles which I'm working on. Other examples you could do is setting up online websites and advertising, selling of items online or developing other interests or hobbies you might have and where it could convert to some small sidelines.

Self-employed sits on a slightly higher-tier than being an employee as you are your own boss, you manage your own time and income depending on the Clients you serve. There will not be any risk of retrenchment however you need to be disciplined enough to continuously find and develop new business and sales to maintain or increase your income. The only set back is you still have to work to continue receive your income and once you stopped working, the income stop as well.

Business Owner (Passive Income)
Business owner is the most difficult to achieve for majority of us here in this category. Being a business owner involves large amount of money and risk, and there is always an element of risk and uncertainty as all businesses are not guaranteed for profits. Do you have $100k or $200k to start a business from scratch? Do you have time and expertise for that? Are you willing to risk it to succeed? Do we have enough capital to endure the period?

Indeed there are so many uncertainties where the business could fail however we do witness some great businesses breaking even within the first 6 months or less than a year, and subsequently the company is making profit for the Business Owner months after months. This can be a great source of back-up plan and you do not have to be physically there once the business is up and running by a team. Examples are investing in a franchise business or some other small businesses with a couple of friends or partners.

Investor (Passive Income)
Investor where you focus on investing your extra money for dividends and passive income. We are now at the right time to invest in great stocks and reits where 20 years ago all these were not available. Being a reit hub in Singapore offers opportunity to investors like us to invest in different real estate and to be rewarded with dividend yields ranging from 4% to 9% on an annual basis.

At the beginning, you will not see much returns but you have to be patient and persevere to build your portfolio day by day with dividends as reinvestment until one day, your passive income coupled with capital gains will surpass your expenses or even replace your employment income.

Of course, the aim is to invest as much as you can building a million worth of portfolio so you can achieve FIRE. One of the few bloggers that inspire me is Dividend Warrior and AK71 with their portfolio and I do inspire to build a similar one like them.

The rewards could be very enriching on a long term basis and you don't have to spend any of your time and energy in maintaining the portfolio except for some re-alignment or management once a while.

As such, one of my most favourite quote for investing is by Charlie Munger (the right-hand man for Warren Buffet):



In conclusion, I would say Cash is King but healthy positive Cashflow is Father of King.

Regards,
SG Cashflow Investor





Sunday, September 15, 2019

My Portfolio Performance - August 2019 Update

Hi Everyone,

This is my first Portfolio update in the month of August 2019.

Below is an extract of my Portfolio from Stocks Cafe (which is a great platform that I stumpled upon recently) and will discuss about the usefulness and effectiveness in the next chapter of Stocks Investing.




As at 16-08-2019
Current Cost: SGD 177,435.95
Current Value: SGD 177,984.14

Portfolio Current Yield: 5.19%
Projected Dividends for the next 12 months: SGD 9,139.82 (almost one-quarter of my target)

This month due to the US China Trade War and continuous HK Protests, I have initiated one of the highest number of transactions when Market is volatile all thanks to Mr T's tweets and when the counter reaches my entry level:

Sell:
1) Some of DBS, UOB and OCBC before Ex-D and after Ex-D (let's discuss about this in the next episode when is the right time to sell your shares)

Buy:
1) Mapletree Greater China Commercial Trust
2) Fraser Logistics and Industrial Trust
3) Ascott Reit
4) Mapletree Logistics Trust
5) Parkway Life Reit
6) Hong Kong Land
7) Keppel DC Reit
8) Mapletree Commercial Trust
9) AA Reit
10) Jardine C&C

This is the usual process of building my portfolio day by day, brick by brick until my portfolio reaches a substantial size with compounding effect for retirement.

I am looking to achieve minimum of SGD36K worth of dividends per annum for a start which could help alot in my expenses and as a back up in case one day my job is at stake (I have witnessed a number of my colleagues being retrenched having said that).

At the point of writing, majority of the stocks which I have chosen to buy are all in the green (mainly reits). I believe market volatility always present two perspectives to different investors. It present pockets of opportunities for investors who see great value buy of the shares while the pessimistic investor sees economic crisis and downtrend of the shares and focus on getting out fast. So which one are you?

The Trump administration had made official announcement of its extra 5% tariff on $300 billion in Chinese imports on September 1 and this adds more uncertainty to the Asian stocks market, but I am still taking a long term view on my positions and will continue to add on a regular basis.

With such news coming your way, will you be adding more of your positions or prefer to go to the safer route of selling and holding cash instead? What are your thoughts?

Regards,
SG Cashflow Investor














Stocks Investing #Ep 2 - Types of Investing Strategies

Hi Everyone,

Today I would like to share my personal investing strategies which I have used over the past 6 years. For those who are consistently investing in SG and overseas markets, you would definitely came across the various types of investing strategies used by different investors.

Below are some examples of different stock investing strategies:

1) Value Investing

Value investing is buying stocks when the stock is trading at a discount to its intrinsic value. By assessing the company's financial reports and using financial ratios, value investors buy stocks with huge margins of safety to provide "insurance" in case the valuation goes wrong.

2) Growth Investing

Growth investing is buying stocks based on the high growth potential of a company. This is despite a higher share price or price to earnings ratio or higher instrinsic value.

3) Momentum Investing


Momentum investing is the art of buying stocks to take advantage of the news and trends of the company. Momentum investors can invest in shares based on good and bad news. Investors will ride on the rising share on good news while they can also capitalise on bad news by buying shares on lower price and hoping it will appreciate at later stage. It is more like trading in that you buy and sell more frequently.

4) Income or Dividend Investing

Dividend investing offers a chance to create a stream of income in addition to the growth of your portfolio's market value from asset appreciation. Buying stocks that pay dividends can reward you over time as long as you take care to follow a few guidelines and make intelligent buying choices. Generally good dividend investors tend to focus either a high dividend yield approach or high dividend growth rate. But I'm not saying you should based on these factors only and you should do your own due diligence on the company's fundamentals, earnings and potential growth etc..

5) Defensive Investing

Defensive investing is very popular for investors during times of Volatile stock market where investors look to accumulate Defensive Stocks. These stocks have high resistance level to any global news or economic downturn and generally, their share price would not be affected that much during any downturn.


Assessing your risk appetite:

However before deciding on which strategies to use, perhaps we should first try to understand what kind of investor we are and the type of risk appetite we have.

Are you an investor looking for quick growth or capital gain of the shares? Or are you a long term investor whom is comfortable having a large amount of money being vested in the market and values dividends as passive income ranging from 4% to 7% per year? Or are you a trader/investor and looking to do some quick trading to make some profit within the next few days?

For the past few days, one of the most trending stocks in SGX market is YZJ Shipbuilding which is part of the STI. Due to the news of YZJ Chairman missing, the share price plunged from all time high of 1.40 to 0.80 before recovering back to 1.04 resistance level and subsequently support level of 0.98. The volume traded reaches 100 million per day and definitely offers the opportunity to make a profit if you catch the right timing.

I have a friend who did just that. He would aim to buy 50K worth of such stock when the price is lower and he would throw it off within the same day once the price goes up by a few cents. He would make few hundreds to few thousands each time.

Question is do you have to courage to put your cash in when the share price is plunging? He told me it was very exciting and scary which I agree. Of course, you could be rewarded handsomely if the decision is right. However to me, this is similar to speculation and the risk of losing part of your capital is high.

Hence it all just voice down to making choices in life and I always believe there is no right or wrong decision as long you are making profits, regardless alot or little.

For me, I am definitely a long term Investor whom is hungry for Dividends as passive income. I am willing to hold as long as possible until one day my dividends surpass my expenses which means Financial Freedom for me. But at times, I will look out for some great value stocks and will offload some when the price is right.

In short, I think we should always first assess our own risk profile and understand what is our appetite for risk v.s rewards.

If you are someone who do not wish to take a little bit of risk on your money, bonds is one of the best option besides for fixed deposits and saving accounts.

Of course for equities, the next step would be to researching on the right companies to invest based on their fundamentals and also entry at the right price which is Financial Analysis and Technical Analysis. You also need to identify which are the stocks that you can hold for long term based on their fundamentals and which are the ones you have to sell.

Lastly, Portfolio Management is another important area to cover which we will talk about this in the next Episode.

Personally for my own porfolio, I am currently using the following strategies for different stocks:

1) Dividend/Income Investing:
Blue Chips and Reits - Hold for long term due to stability and consistent Dividends payouts.

2) Growth Investing:
YZJ, Genting, Thai Beverage and Sheng Siong - Aim for high growth and capital gain with entry at the right price.

3) Value Investing:
Basically buying any stocks that is trading below their NAV e.g. HK Land and etc.

4) Defensive Investing:
ST Engineering, ComfortDelgro, SBS Transit, SATS - These stocks are deemed necessities and/or have great resistance level against economic downturn or crisis.

There are also a few Nos for me when it comes to investing in Stocks. Some of them I have personally experience it and some of it are learning through the mistake of others.

Type of Industries that I do not touch at the moment:

1) Airlines
2) Oil and Gas
3) Penny Stocks
4) Pure Shipping and Offshore except for Congolmerate that have diversified businesses
6) China Small to Mid Caps



Regards,
SG Cashflow Investor